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Monday, 24 November 2008

Fears financial crisis will mutate into worldwide recession

16/10/2008 8:23:00 AM.  | AAP

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Fears are growing that the financial crisis will mutate into a worldwide recession with leaders calling for new global action to counter slowing economies and market troubles.

As EU leaders gathered for a summit devoted to the financial turmoil, a top US central bank official, backed by new data, said the United States appeared to be in recession.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel said the Group of Eight wealthy nations would hold a special summit before the end of the year. British Prime Minister Gordon Brown called for international talks on radical reform of the world financial system.

Janet Yellen, president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve, said there was "essentially no growth at all" in the world's biggest economy and "growth in the fourth quarter appears to be weaker yet, with an outright contraction quite likely".

US retail sales slumped 1.2 per cent in September, government data showed. The drop was the steepest since August 2005.

Ian Shepherdson, economist at High Frequency Economics, said "there can be no doubt now that the (US) economy is in recession".

Japan's Prime Minister Taro Aso has already said he has "huge fears" for the future of the world's second biggest economy and Merkel said Germany, ranked third, faces a major test of its strength.

"We must prepare ourselves for a weakening of growth in Germany. But I'm convinced that the slowdown will not prove a long-lasting one," Merkel said as she urged parliament to pass a 480 billion euro ($A940 billion) bank rescue package.

"Germany is strong but Germany is going to go through a difficult period," she warned.

Merkel said the Group of Eight and leading developing nations would hold a special crisis summit before the end of the year.

In Brussels, the British prime minister urged fellow EU leaders to unite against the underlying problems behind the crisis.

Brown said financial system has been stabilised but added: "I believe we must now move to stage two ... to make sure that problems that develop in financial systems, problems we know originated in America, do not occur again."

Brown called for a complete overhaul of global financial regulations and institutions, such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF). He said international talks had to start this year.

"It becomes obvious now that we are dealing with global financial markets ... what we do not have is anything other than national or regional supervision," he said.

European Union nations have already committed more than 1.8 trillion euros ($A3.53 trillion) to fighting the crisis by buying bank shares and providing loan guarantees to keep credit markets moving.

The United States has a $US700 billion ($A1.0 trillion) rescue plan and the administration announced that $US250 billion ($A360 billion) from that would be used to take stakes in nine major banks.

US President George W Bush defended his action in response to the crisis and promised the US economy would recover.

"We have taken extraordinary measures because these are extraordinary circumstances," said Bush, who has been put on the defensive by criticism from the right wing of his Republican party that the government is taking too much control of the economy.

"It's very important for the American people to know that the program is designed to preserve free enterprise, not replace free enterprise," he said.

Worries about a worldwide slowdown and the crisis in the money markets have given global stock markets a battering and shares fell again Wednesday.

Wall Street shares slid 1.75 per cent in early trading and Europe's main markets were also sharply lower with London's FTSE 100 falling 5.25 per cent, the Paris CAC 40 4.23 per cent and Frankfurt's DAX 4.72 per cent.

Tokyo was a bright spot in Asia, closing up 1.06 per cent after a record 14 per cent surge but Hong Kong closed down 5.0 per cent.

COMMENTS

Thursday, 16 October 2008

How much more evidence do we need to understand that no regulation of the banking sector is foolish. These greedy banks have now caused total havoc economically across the globe and what do we do, reward them by bailing them out. All this does is reduce some short term pain but it has zero impact on the structual problems that created this mess to start with. The banks should not be bailed out, the people that have been stitched by these corporate thieves are the ones that should be helped.

Posted by: Paul Trood, Southport

 

Thursday, 16 October 2008

...And according to Piers Ackerman and his rag-tag band of battle scarred Tories this is Kevin Rudd's fault. The Liberals have never held office in such disastrous economic climate. Its no wonder the Liberals threw the last election.

Posted by: Sean Ambrose, Helensburgh

Thursday, 16 October 2008

Ha ha, and you thought you and your bleeding heart Labor/Greens supporters GOT RID OF him, when in actual fact he was smart enough to see the writing on the wall eh? ROFLMAO I'd still rather see JWH/PC in the hotseat than these bunch of know-nothings.

Posted by: Happy Little Gumnut, Sydney

Thursday, 16 October 2008

"threw the last election" what a sad silly old fossil Ambrose. BEFORE the election Costello warned of what has now happened. The public didn't listen, Rudd didn't listen. Rudd started out in November aggressively slowing an economy that Costello knew would slow anyway. The RBA went too far. Rudd went too far. Hence the panic action from this bunch of incompetents. We are now stuck with this crap from Rudd who still weants to introduce NEW taxes (alcopops, diesel etc etc). Rudd never learns!

Posted by: Geoff Bolton, Lane Cove

 

Thursday, 16 October 2008

It seems the Europeans have a good handle on the crisis - "German Chancellor Angela Merkel said the Group of Eight wealthy nations would hold a special summit before the end of the year." like, that meeting could be a couple of months away and WW3 could see the skies thick with missiles by then!!, but if the governments had any balls they ought to be saying to the banks - "operate as normal", and if not "the government will take you over" - and here it could be back to government banks - easy.

Posted by: Neville Simms, Sydney

 

Thursday, 16 October 2008

We should have just let the banks fall. None of the interventions are working. Any business -- large or small -- is a risk, and if the risk goes bad, that's capitalism, you take the good news along with the bad, in equal measures. Boom and bust cycles are nothing new. Nobody likes a bust, but one economic expert said it's normal about every 4 years, on average! So get used to it folks, and crank up the long term memories! Take your Omega 3's!

Posted by: andy robbins, phillip bay

 

Thursday, 16 October 2008

Bolton, Obviously Costello was able to exert and influence old man Howard with his economic expertise. Geoff, one does not need listen to the drivel spewed from you Tories in regard to the current crisis. The electorate are not as stupid as you would have us believe. The Howard government had a 'glorious' twelve years to regulate financial markets, rather then wallow in their own delusions of grandeur and self professed economic management of the ‘free market’ racketeers.

Posted by: Sean Ambrose, Helensburgh

Thursday, 16 October 2008

Ambrose, the regulation of the banks here is good, and our financial institutions are in very good shape thanks to Costello. Rudd cannot accept any credit for that. Its the banks in the US that are the problem. Generalise and you'll look silly.

Posted by: Geoff Bolton, Lane Cove

Thursday, 16 October 2008

They did regulate our financial markets i.e. APRA, which Rudd now praises without acknowleging who set it up.

Posted by: A Narchy, The Hills

Thursday, 16 October 2008

Sean thats a little unfair. It was a LABOR government that deregulated, but it was with bi partisan support. Everyone at the time thought it was a good idea. However, a couple of years ago the reality started kicking in for many, and MOST people on this site have been strongly advocating for more regulation for the past year on both sides, but particularly libs. Can I also remind you AGAIN, that Tories are conservatives (we aren't in the UK). I'm a liberal, not a tory - there's a big difference!

Posted by: Concerned Liberal, Minto

 

Friday, 17 October 2008

Fear it or live with it, but at some time not too far away the definition of when does a recession morph into a depression era needs to be visited for how many people are already reducing their optional expenditures and that will just be adding to further economy contraction and ultimately it will become a case of how far does the pendulum swing, future economists being able to argue on whether the greater weight momentum should or could have been controlled more by modern financial technology!!

Posted by: Neville Simms, Sydney

 
 

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